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Will the Belgian harvest recover?

19 August 2019 - Niels van der Boom - 13 comments

Claims experts in Belgium report that yields in the country will be much lower than previously thought. The newspaper Het Belang van Limburg writes about this. All crops have to deal with significantly lower yields. In the potatoes, the decrease is from 30% to even 50%.

The main culprit of the low yields is the heat wave that occurred at the end of July. In a interview With 'Het Belang van Limburg', Sofie Scherpereel says that the damage of €50 million, which was previously estimated, was underestimated.

Early potatoes are disappointing
Despite the lower temperatures and some rainfall, all crops struggled to recover in August. In some places, the damage has even worsened. Scherpereel speaks of a yield loss of 50% or more with the (early) potato harvest. For the main harvest, a lower yield of 30% is taken into account. The growers are negatively surprised when they start harvesting.

The other crops are also quite affected. Fruit and vegetable crops have been hit even harder. A reduction in yield of 80% is estimated for the onions. The Belgian growers therefore hope that an agricultural disaster will be declared, which would make them eligible for compensation. It is also the last time that this is possible, because Belgium is also switching to a broad weather insurance.

No rain
The crops are expected to recover only slightly. Little to no rain is forecast for the next 2 weeks. The rain of the past few weeks was mainly local and sometimes in large quantities, combined with hail. That also causes damage.

The precipitation map of the potato institute PCA shows very different amounts of precipitation in July: from barely 20 millimeters to 100 millimeters. It shows the local character of the showers. The first 3 weeks of August have not changed much. In particular, the east of Belgium has had some precipitation. The south and southwest will remain dry.

Yield Fontane
PCA is slightly less negative about the main harvest and records heterogeneous yields. The Fontane variety comes in at 30 to 40 tons per hectare in this sampling. However, there are also areas where the yield is higher than this. On average, Flanders scores better than Wallonia. It does note that the crops are very worn out.

Due to the aging of the foliage and a lack of precipitation, not much is expected in terms of regrowth. This is especially the case for Bintje. Fontane and Challenger are doing slightly better, but here too regrowth is a challenge. Bintje and Agria also have to contend with through growth.

De potato futures market opened Monday morning, August 19, higher at €12,50 per 100 kilos for the April contract. On Friday, August 16, the market closed at €12.

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Niels van der Boom

Niels van der Boom is a senior market specialist for arable crops at DCA Market Intelligence. He mainly makes analyses and market updates about the potato market. In columns he shares his sharp view on the arable sector and technology.
Comments
13 comments
Subscriber
Andre 19 August 2019
This is in response to it Boerenbusiness article:
[url=http://www.boerenbusiness.nl/akkerbouw/aardappelen/ artikel/10883687/komen-belgische-oogst-de-klap-te-boven]Will the Belgian harvest overcome the blow?[/url]
This article says enough, and there are not enough potatoes, yields are disappointing, and will also be disappointing, and the regrowth, it will not be either.
Belgian 19 August 2019
Price has to go up again towards 25 afland to 30 from the barn
inspector 19 August 2019
This article is fake news. Miss Sophie barely knows the difference between a potato and an onion. Mrs. lives by filling in Belgian disaster fund files and is busy whipping things up.
Jef 20 August 2019
From this weekend, a final blow for potatoes...
harvester 20 August 2019
This is exactly what I have noticed during the harvesting in recent weeks. yields will be very below average.
Noord 20 August 2019
rooier wrote:
This is exactly what I have noticed during the harvesting in recent weeks. yields will be very below average.
No, rooi fontane seedpods, have been dead for three weeks, 45 tons. Your cons really do more, I'm convinced of that.
peta 20 August 2019
You forget that seed potatoes are planted about twice as thick and that Nrd clay or loam NEVER dries out. You actually don't even know what drought means. And not at all combined with heat.
Good to hear that seed potato cultivation is so lucrative. 45 tons x 35 cents is 15000 euros per hectare. That price can be easily reduced by a dime, and it will be distributed more fairly in the chain.
harvester 20 August 2019
Noord, last season the seed mafia made us believe that there was a shortage of seed potatoes. now you have only started to dig up your seed potatoes and you start shouting again that there will be too much now..
who still believes these people???
Drent 20 August 2019
what I see is that the growth is only moderate, (too) many but no thickness. If you look again after a week, I don't think they have grown significantly.
Subscriber
Real Grower 20 August 2019
North wrote:
rooier wrote:
This is exactly what I have noticed during the harvesting in recent weeks. yields will be very below average.
No, rooi fontane seedpods, have been dead for three weeks, 45 tons. Your cons really do more, I'm convinced of that.
Seed potatoes for a dime then..
super bintje 20 August 2019
I see less wax in my bintjes than in my fontanes. Anyone else with that experience?
I won't say anything about the yield.
Subscriber
truth 20 August 2019
North wrote:
rooier wrote:
This is exactly what I have noticed during the harvesting in recent weeks. yields will be very below average.
No, rooi fontane seedpods, have been dead for three weeks, 45 tons. Your cons really do more, I'm convinced of that.
joker.....with your heavy soil and leg distance at 15 cm
Ab 22 August 2019
Plenty of red rot found in Fontana in the west
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