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FAO: Potato area must double in 10 years

June 7, 2022 - Niels van der Boom - 6 comments

The worldwide acreage of potatoes has the potential to double in the next ten years. Qu Dongyu said so during the World Potato Congress in Dublin, Ireland. Qu is director-general of the Food & Agriculture organization (FAO) of the United Nations.

Between May 30 and June 2, Dublin again became the World Potato Congress organized after it was previously delayed by the corona pandemic. The director general emphasized the nutritional value of potatoes that can prevent hunger worldwide. The potato is the fourth most important food in the world and does so with a lower environmental impact than other large crops.

Potato yield to 750 million tons
In 2020, the potato acreage worldwide was about 20 million hectares – spread over 150 countries. Good for 359 million tons. “By increasing yields and making more use of traditional growing areas, production can be increased to 500 million tons in 2025 and 750 million tons in 2030,” said Qu Dongyu.

This extra production is required to fight hunger in the world, if it is up to the United Nations. According to its figures, in 2021, 193 million people will suffer from hunger in 53 countries and territories. An increase of 40 million compared to 2020. Due to the Ukraine war, this number is expected to rise sharply again this year.

Protectionism inhibits food security
Qu Dongyu also cited the war in the country. Such conflicts and especially their consequences are crippling for potato cultivation and agriculture. Think of cost increases of fertilizer and other products. "Trade wars and protectionist behavior prevent the world from feeding itself. Increasingly, such restrictive measures hamper food security and make the market uncertain."

Potato growers in Europe are likely to raise an eyebrow at the director-general's decision to double the acreage. The cultivation in Europe is stabilizing or even declining, for various reasons. Growth in cultivation is particularly noticeable in Asia. There is also still a lot of potential in Africa and Latin America. The peak of the worldwide potato area in the last sixty years was 31 million hectares. If it is up to Qu Dongyu, that figure will be achieved again quickly. "With a relatively small yield increase of 2,5 tons per hectare (10%), production has already doubled. At the moment in many countries only one fifth of the yield potential is being used, while that is four fifths for rice."

Action plan
The FAO itself has drawn up a list of action points in its strategic plans for the period 2022-2031. These mainly include research, training, promotion and more. Qu Dongyu – himself from China – is a scientific researcher who has specialized in the potato.

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Niels van der Boom

Niels van der Boom is a senior market specialist for arable crops at DCA Market Intelligence. He mainly makes analyses and market updates about the potato market. In columns he shares his sharp view on the arable sector and technology.
Comments
6 comments
loom June 7, 2022
This is in response to it Boerenbusiness article:
[url = https: // www.boerenbusiness.nl/akkerbouw/aardappelen/ artikel/10898845/fao-aardappelareaal-moet-in-10-jaar-doubling]FAO: Potato acreage must double in 10 years[/url]
First let the price double, then the surface follows
Subscriber
Jaap Haanstra June 7, 2022
On September 13, 2019, an article was posted at bb by me with the title "the position of potato growers is getting stronger"

I still stand by that.
The more potatoes you need and the faster you want to achieve this, the faster the price will rise.
And the reason is dead simple. The areas that can grow potatoes most competitively (worldwide) are just about at their max
Cultivation areas with less yield then come into the picture, but because the yield there will be lower, but the costs per hectare are just as high, you can only tempt them with higher prices.
The prices will then be higher for each grower

Uncertain factors but which will ultimately not stop the process are: the role of politics, inflation and GBM policy

And of course what will grain prices do in the longer term.
So you always have idiots who say, for example, that grain prices of 300 € should be possible
Subscriber
gerard June 7, 2022
where are we going to grow these potatoes and who is going to buy them
Subscriber
truth June 7, 2022
will not fall as much ground to the; housing, nature, solar parks must
It can freeze or thaw June 7, 2022
Jaap Haanstra wrote:
On September 13, 2019, an article was posted at bb by me with the title "the position of potato growers is getting stronger"

I still stand by that.
The more potatoes you need and the faster you want to achieve this, the faster the price will rise.
And the reason is dead simple. The areas that can grow potatoes most competitively (worldwide) are just about at their max
Cultivation areas with less yield then come into the picture, but because the yield there will be lower, but the costs per hectare are just as high, you can only tempt them with higher prices.
The prices will then be higher for each grower

Uncertain factors but which will ultimately not stop the process are: the role of politics, inflation and GBM policy

And of course what will grain prices do in the longer term.
So you always have idiots who say, for example, that grain prices of 300 € should be possible
I can go a long way with the story but there are too many uncertain factors that not many people/countries can influence.

The war in Ukraine has turned the world upside down and no one knows what the short term consequences will be, let alone the longer term.

You can also approach the story differently. I think that crops that don't cost a lot have the future, potato cultivation has become an expensive crop with many risks that you as a grower cannot always influence.

What we as a sector should not close our eyes to is what consumers want to eat on their plate in the future.
You are already seeing a strongly changed eating pattern and that will only happen more and more. The diversity and the enormous choice options will certainly play a role in the future.

We'll see whether the potato will play a leading role in this, but when I look at the table potato market, I only see shrinkage.
The sector will have to keep its finger on the pulse.
Subscriber
van der wallie June 11, 2022
can easily switch if all those livestock farmers with land to arable farming
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