Now also tax on sorghum

Grain market target in trade war

18 April 2018 - Redactie Boerenbusiness

The trade war between the United States (US) and China has entered a new chapter. As of today, China temporarily imposes hefty tariffs on American sorghum.  

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced last Tuesday that it would raise import tariffs (of 180%) on sorghum from the US. This is reinforcing tensions between the two countries. The charges came into effect on Wednesday. China is the main importer of sorghum from the US; China imported about 2017 million tons of sorghum worth $5 million in 957.

Rising prices
Soybean meal and soybean quotes on the Dalian stock exchange in China rose 2% after the tariffs were announced. According to analysts, this is because it is feared that the tax on soy will also become a reality. China said earlier this month it would lift 25% import tariffs on soy in response to US tariffs on steel and aluminum. However, a date on which the charges will come into effect has not yet been set. This is because China and the US are still in talks about the situation.

Trade flows shift due to tariffs 

Question in Argentina
As China fears a soybean shortage for animal feed production, demand is shifting to Argentina and Brazil. The Chinese demand, combined with the disappointing soybean harvest in Argentina, is pushing up the price in South America. That is why Argentine traders are currently importing 240.000 tons of soybeans from the US in order to be able to ship soy to China via a detour. In this way, the charges are avoided. 

The rising soy price in South America in turn ensures that the competitive position of the US improves. For example in Europe, the second largest importer of soy. As a result, European traders are buying more soy in the US, while Chinese importers in turn are targeting Brazil and Argentina. As a result, trade flows are shifting somewhat.

Hunger for soy
China is expected to import a record 2018 million tons of soybeans in 97; mainly to feed livestock. China counts the largest pig herd in a world that is rapidly professionalising. 

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