Including solar fields

3 reasons for the rising land price

4 May 2018 - Anne Jan Doorn - 30 comments

It is clear that the price of land in the Netherlands is rising. An important reason for this is scarcity. More and more land is being withdrawn from the agricultural sector. What causes this scarcity?

Various figures from Statistics Netherlands (CBS) support the tight supply, partly due to the extraction of land for non-agricultural purposes. Between 1950 and 2016, more than 550.000 hectares of cultivated land were extracted; on average that is 8.000 hectares per year. 

1. More nature
In 2016 became known that money will be made available through the Climate Agreement for additional nature reserves. Within 30 years there should be 100.000 hectares of extra forest in the Netherlands. The cost for this is more than €3 billion. This has the logical consequence that less agricultural land is available.

Last week the province made North Holland known that it is making €500.000 in subsidies available to enable farmers to move out of potential natural areas. The aim is to create 250 hectares of new nature.

This situation does not only occur in the Netherlands. For example, Farmers Weekly wrote that the growth of forestry in the United Kingdom (UK) is causing more and more agricultural land to be sacrificed. The reason is that more money is being made in forestry in the UK. There are farmers who make good use of it and sell their land to use the money for broadening activities. In addition, they use the forest for recreational opportunities.

Project developers keep farmers in mind a reward

2. More solar panels
Solar panels also consume a lot of land and that will only increase in the coming years. Like this suggested project developers early April that 10% of the Dutch land is needed for solar fields. This is the only way to achieve the energy targets of 2050. The developers keep the farmers in mind a nice reward and mention amounts of €3.500 to €6.000 per hectare per year. 

Especially in the north of the country, where land prices are lower, many plans are being made for large-scale solar parks. Farmers are approached to rent out their land for 15 to 20 years. However, this also means that the farmers cannot simply get rid of the solar panels.

LTO Noord and various political parties oppose the use of agricultural land for solar panels too quickly. Minister Eric Wiebes (Economic Affairs and Climate) recently said in response to parliamentary questions: "Agricultural land is the very last option for the construction of solar parks."

3. More housing
There are more factors that cause scarcity, such as growing housing construction. The improving economy means that 80.000 additional houses will have to be built in the coming years. Although the norm is that this should be done mainly in inner-city areas, estate agents mainly own agricultural land. Nearly 80% of the land is located outside the city.

The agricultural sector is often unable to compete with competitive demand. This is because the market value is much higher at another destination, such as a business park or housing development. Together, these developments play an important role in the fact that the Netherlands highest land price in Europe has.

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Anne-Jan Doorn

Anne Jan Doorn is an arable expert at Boerenbusiness. He writes about the various arable farming markets and also focuses on the land and energy market.
Comments
30 comments
Ae 4 May 2018
This is a response to this article:
[url=http://www.boerenbusiness.nl/ondernemen/grond/ artikel/10878453/3-redenen-voor-de- groende-grondprijs][/url]
This doesn't stop..
hans 4 May 2018
Point 1, more nature. Available 3 billion for 100.000 ha of nature. It is therefore calculated that 30.000 euros per ha must be paid, which does not increase the ha.
2, solar panels. Especially by companies on leased land from farmers who have stopped or stopped. Little influence on land price.
3, housing construction. In cities, while real estate agents already own the surrounding land. Sufficient stock of land, so little future demand for agricultural land.

And then claim to have 3 reasons for rising land prices?
Student 5 May 2018
Hans, you do realize that it has to do with the business model in addition to supply and demand? If someone can earn more than 3000 a year on your land, you will sell that land for a price. If many farmers are bought out for a nature reserve (there is more money available in addition to the stated amount), the land price also rises not so much because of what has been paid for that land, but because these farmers are looking for new land.
Narcos 5 May 2018
Yeah, all true. But make no mistake about the fact that there is currently a whole generation of farmers who are quite happy with it, poor prices, high costs, lots of bullshit and little appreciation by buyers and the government. In fact, there are quite a few for sale.
hans 5 May 2018
Student, earn 3000 euros per year on 1 ha., gross, with capital tax, and for how long? Completely dependent on subsidies, and with a tail (clearance)? In addition, 60% of the land owners are 50+, so are they starting over? Plus what Narcos writes, yes, land price increase??
Subscriber
Skirt 5 May 2018
The most important thing is what the interest will do, if it rises then the price of land will fall. It's very simple, as long as the vast majority of land buyers are farmers who have to do this with financing, then interest is a major cost item. Banks also require that you must be able to repay fairly quickly, this money must be there.
Subscriber
seagull 5 May 2018
The chance that interest rates will rise somewhat in the medium term is quite high, just look at the US and listen to the trend of Frankfurt
Ae 5 May 2018
Again .. This does not stop ... I have been hearing this kind of discussion for generations and every one I thought yes they are right .. The land price is going to fall .. But one thing is clear to me .. Land is a scarcity good .. And with 1 million people it has become an urban countryside. Nature spots such as the Hoge Veluwe are quite busy during the holidays. If I look in my area, 15 recreational homes will be added.. All investors.. Dusssssss.... This does not stop
Berry 5 May 2018
As long as the BV Nederland earns money, the land price will continue to rise in either direction.
hans 5 May 2018
The difference with the past is of course our unsurpassed EU. Free movement of capital. So… investors have a much wider area to invest, with the EU guarantees. 1 ha in the Netherlands for 50.000, or 15 ha in Romania for that money, where the price is also justified from an agricultural point of view. Everyone knows where, among other things, the RABO currently finances more and more easily, ie where capital still has confidence.
Ae 6 May 2018
Hans, what is the rent per hectare in Romania?
Johan 6 May 2018
The EU with its central bank, the ECB, is creating unprecedented bubbles. The ECB keeps printing money by taking out all debts, to admit everyone permanently, to live dormant on mountains of debt from governments and banks and to increase them daily. As a result, no more interest for movable assets and, moreover, both shareholder and bondholder are taxed super heavily, as in Belgium under duress by the left-wing mob. Result: everyone to real estate, because real estate has always been rising and cannot be increased and will soon become the only reliable asset. Victim: the farmers. Agricultural land becomes unaffordable and only ends up in the hands of very rich industrialists, in contrast to what is supposedly intended, ie that very rich, become even richer. They will soon have complete control over everything, including our food.
Johan 6 May 2018
Correction : ..., prevent whole rich from getting even richer ...
Agri 6 May 2018
Nice man I'm a millionaire now and soon multi millionaire
Subscriber
Don 6 May 2018
120000.2%==2400€ conclusion? To buy!
peer 6 May 2018
the land price of land does not go up in a straight line you have bumps and drops
and as long as interest rates remain low, people who still have some money left will invest in land and stones
Skirt 6 May 2018
@Don, you forget that you also have to repay € 4000.-/ha per year, plus you get a fixed-interest period that is considerably shorter than 30 years. Maybe even for 10 years, you will pay more than 2% interest including storage. In addition, you have the water board costs and possibly a number of costs, you will soon have an annual burden of approximately € 6700 / ha that you must be able to cough up. Wonder how that can be calculated if you buy a nice block.
Subscriber
Don 6 May 2018
kjol wrote:
@Don, you forget that you also have to repay € 4000.-/ha per year, plus you get a fixed-interest period that is considerably shorter than 30 years. Maybe even for 10 years, you will pay more than 2% interest including storage. In addition, you have the water board costs and possibly a number of costs, you will soon have an annual burden of approximately € 6700 / ha that you must be able to cough up. Wonder how that can be calculated if you buy a nice block.
That's right, you shouldn't have thrown it over the bar in recent years! But don't forget to spread it on the other grounds that you already had and which therefore had less burdens!
gutters 6 May 2018
so the costs per hectare increase. What does this do to the end result?
hans 6 May 2018
Don wrote:
you must not have thrown it over the bar in recent years! But don't forget to spread it on the other grounds that you already had and which therefore had less burdens!


Yeah, you shouldn't have thrown it away in the past few years, so do it now. Join this pyramid scheme! Spread on the grounds you already had, and also put them in the balance. If you can't calculate straight to the left, you can't do it right either.
Subscriber
Don 7 May 2018
Repetition of moves!, who in the past did not undertake anything, it was always too expensive!!, now does nothing, and in my opinion that applies to everything.
hans 7 May 2018
Don wrote:
Repetition of moves!, who in the past did not undertake anything, it was always too expensive!!, now does nothing, and in my opinion that applies to everything.


oh ? Has the price of land increased faster than inflation? Couldn't you have done much more with houses or on the stock exchange?
How come 30 years ago most farmers were free, with their own land and debt-free, and now the farmers are working more land, with sky-high debt and slaves to the bank?
That is why those farmers, who do "enterprise", are still farmers, they can no longer go anywhere. And that applies to almost everything in the Netherlands.
Subscriber
Don 7 May 2018
hans wrote:
Don wrote:
Repetition of moves!, who in the past did not undertake anything, it was always too expensive!!, now does nothing, and in my opinion that applies to everything.


oh ? Has the price of land increased faster than inflation? Couldn't you have done much more with houses or on the stock exchange?
How come 30 years ago most farmers were free, with their own land and debt-free, and now the farmers are working more land, with sky-high debt and slaves to the bank?
That is why those farmers, who do "enterprise", are still farmers, they can no longer go anywhere. And that applies to almost everything in the Netherlands.
no and no and 30 years yellow the interest rate was 9% plus and the land price was navanand! Other times! But the way of doing business is not much different! Do you know facts..
hans 7 May 2018
Don, your only right is that the times are different, the rest are your facts. In the past, people used to farm in order to keep the company in family ownership, now they do business, where Russian roulette is played with the entire family capital. Many will lose everything. Modern society.
pete s 8 May 2018
You are absolutely wrong
In your view, the whole western world will go bankrupt
However, you must ensure responsible growing
This is for everyone else
Without any growth your company will break down
hans 8 May 2018
No, Piet, only when using foreign capital will your company fail without growth, just like indeed the western world. This is because of the interest. Since growth cannot continue indefinitely, it is already artificially created here, we are all at a dead end.
You don't want to know how much of the former peasant property has already been consumed and given away to big business, and this continues on a daily basis. This is because they are allowed to pay for something with nothing, ask for even more in return, and eventually get everything in their hands, if we continue to race on the route you have indicated. The requested interest will kill everyone.
John 8 May 2018
Also bought expensive land.120k itfwa
Absolutely no regrets.re too low.wel pay off idd.
Have a good feeling about it..so
Everyone sees it through their own glasses
Skirt 8 May 2018
Western world is already bankrupt, debt mountain has never been so high, the only thing that keeps everything running is the ultra-low interest rate.
stock watcher 8 May 2018
Around 1975, according to the standards of the time, the construction and furnishing of a storage and storage shed cost about as much as 8 hectares of arable land.
If you now have to build a new repository and storage, you probably won't come out much different.
It is not so easy to determine where inflation has struck the most.
For dairy farming you will work with a different ratio, but it is about development.
pete s 8 May 2018
Building a house costs the value of 4 ha
This has always been the case
hans 8 May 2018
pete s wrote:
Building a house costs the value of 4 ha
This has always been the case


THE 2 air bubbles in the Netherlands. Compare it to a kilo of grain or a liter of milk at the farm price.....
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