After the milk supply in the United States grew considerably in the first eight months of this year, the production figures for the past three months are no longer able to choose a direction. In November, production was at about the same level as in November 2020.
American livestock farmers delivered 7.847.140 tons of milk to processors. That was more than 45.000 tons, or 0,5%, more than last year. Production per cow increased slightly to 880,42 kilos. That was still 2020 kilos in October 879,1. The number of cows kept decreased slightly by 24.000 to a total of 8.890.000 cows.
Milk supply historically at a high level
Compared to the milk supply in November in recent years, the milk supply in the United States is still high. On average, 7.623.160 tons of milk were delivered in November over the past five years. This means that approximately 223.000 more tons of milk were produced this year, making production almost 3% higher this year.
Ministry of Agriculture predicts lower production growth
Due to the recent decline in cow numbers and the relatively stable milk production per cow, the American Department of Agriculture (USDA) has slightly adjusted its production forecast downwards for the whole of 2021 and 2022. For the current year, the USDA now projects a production of 102.602.000 tons of milk. That is 200.000 tons less than in the penultimate forecast. It means a production growth of 1,1% compared to 2020.
For 2022, the forecast was adjusted downwards by 400.000 tons. The USDA now expects a modest production growth of 2022% for 0,7. According to the ministry, the volume will then amount to 2022 tons in 103.282.982. The milk price forecast for next year was also increased slightly to €40,40 per 100 kilos of milk.