Politics Nitrogen
Poll: BBB rises further, nitrogen plans weaken
BoerBurgerBeweging (BBB) continues to rise in the weekly poll by Maurice de Hond for the House of Representatives. The party of leader Caroline van der Plas now virtually has three seats more than major opponent D66. A large majority believes that the nitrogen targets presented by the government should be adjusted and watered down.
If elections are held now, BBB can take into account as many as 14 seats. That is 13 more than the current seat of 1 in the House of Representatives, and one more than the last poll a week ago. This makes BBB the third party in the Netherlands, after the VVD and PVV. The current major parties in parliament, VVD and D66, are both losing heavily again. VVD has 22 seats in the poll, 12 less than now. D66 ends up with 11 seats, which means that Sigrid Kaag's party is more than halved. On the left flank of the political spectrum, GroenLinks and PvdA are gaining ground, as are the Party of the Animals and Volt. With 7 seats in the poll, the CDA is still at a sharp loss of 8 compared to the current 15 seats. (read more under table)
Little confidence in RIVM nitrogen model
More than a week after the presentation of the nitrogen plans Christianne van der Wal, Minister of Nature and Nitrogen, De Hond surveyed voters' support for nitrogen policy. In general, it turns out that there is (just) none. A large majority of two-thirds of voters believe that the goals of the nitrogen policy should be adjusted and the nitrogen plans should be watered down. Also striking is the lack of confidence in the Aerius model of the RIVM, which calculates the nitrogen emissions. Only 29% of voters are blind to this. Voters from D66 (76%) and GroenLinks (70%) think that the Aerius model gives a good picture of nitrogen emissions, but many voters from all other parties (including the Party for the Animals, PvdA and Volt) have their reservations about this. Bee.
A narrow majority of 51% does not agree with the goal of reducing nitrogen emissions by 50% by 2030. The left wing (D66, GroenLinks, PvdA, Volt, PvDD) is convincing for this goal. It is striking that the VVD voter is also narrowly in favor (51%), while 37% of the CDA voters support this goal. The voter of BBB (6%) convincingly does not agree to achieve this goal, just like those of the PVV, JA21 and Forum for Democracy. An equally small majority of 52% believes that the livestock not by 30% needs to be reduced, which, according to Van der Wal, will be the effect of its nitrogen policy. Two-thirds of the emperors (66%) believe that nitrogen emissions around Natura2000 areas do not need to be reduced by 70%, which implies a more flexible policy for agricultural entrepreneurs there.
Nitrogen worth a government crisis
Also notable is that almost two-thirds of voters (64%) think nitrogen policy is worth a government crisis. Only the voter of the VVD and ChristenUnie is not in favor of this, almost all other parties - and of course certainly also the opposition parties - are. Characteristic is that 57% of the voters of D66 think the nitrogen plans are worth a cabinet crisis and therefore possibly new elections. In the current coalition, D66 is, for the time being, alone in persevering in the implementation of the current nitrogen plan. The members of the VVD have voted in favor of amendment and the CDA and ChristenUnie only want to pass judgment on the 'farmer's plan' until all other nitrogen plans for industry, Schiphol and housing are known, among other things.
In any case, nine months before the national elections for the Provincial Council, Maurice de Hond notes that the nitrogen dossier "will give little chance to significantly improve the electoral position of the four government parties together." The four ruling parties VVD, D66, CDA and ChristenUnie are now jointly losing 31 seats in the polls.
Eric the Thrush
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