Now is the time for dairy farmers to switch from conventional to organic, says Jan Willem van den Berg, agricultural sector specialist at ING Bank. The price difference between the conventional and organic milk price is currently so small that you can bridge the conversion period of two years without needing extra credit. In doing so, the bank is aiming for countercyclical investment. "At the moment the returns in conventional dairy farming are better than in organic, but realize that this is only a snapshot."
ING Bank states that now is a very interesting time for conventional dairy farmers to switch to organic. That sounds remarkable, given that the current milk prices are almost identical to the organic prices.
"That is indeed the case, but that is precisely what makes it so interesting. Normally the price difference is greater, which makes the mandatory conversion period of two years much more difficult from a financial point of view. Now an entrepreneur could take the step without needing extra credit. In fact, half a been even better years ago, given that prevailing milk prices are currently moving down again."
Then there must also be room in the organic market?
"There is. Both FrieslandCampina and EkoHolland have room for fifty extra dairy farmers. FrieslandCampina wants to increase the sales of organic baby milk powder and EkoHolland has sales space for fresh dairy products."
But due to high inflation, organic dairy sales are under pressure…
"You can look at this in several ways. Due to inflation, the price difference between conventional and organic dairy has become smaller. This has made organic dairy relatively more interesting for the price-conscious consumer. A switch from conventional to organic is not a business choice for in the short term. In the longer term, organic milk prices will be higher than the usual. Are you going to produce for a relatively stable organic market, or will you go along with the whims of the world market? That is the question you as an entrepreneur must ask yourself. Also take government policy into account, which seems to offer more prospects for organic farmers. How will I farm in ten to fifteen years time is the key question."
That requires a considerable entrepreneurial scope, often the short-term memory is larger. What are your expectations for the milk price in 2023?
"The conventional milk prices are under more pressure than the organic ones. The world market prices for cheese, butter and milk powder have been marked down considerably in recent months and are still under pressure. The conventional milk price could just drop a dime in early 2023. FrieslandCampina has with the guaranteed price for January, the first step has been taken and the other processors are following suit. The organic milk price is also under some pressure, but much less than the usual price. The price difference between the usual and organic milk prices will therefore increase again in the coming months ."
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This is in response to it Boerenbusiness article:
[url = https: // www.boerenbusiness.nl/melk/artikel/10902279/lsquo-dairy farmer-must-switch-to-organic-right now]'Dairy farmer must switch to organic right now'[/url]
Hi Louis Pascal de Geer, you come up with a cautious statement that organically produced food is healthy. Didn't see anyone claiming a different statement. However, regularly produced food is no less healthy. What always remains a question to me why organically produced food may contain more residues than traditionally produced. Then I believe that it is rather less healthy, because otherwise the maximum number of residues must be equal.