Interesting price trend

One-to-one comparison of piglet quotations is not possible

28 July 2017 - Wouter Baan - 2 comments

The piglet quotations in the Netherlands correspond to each other, mutate in the same market, but often follow a different price trend. What is the reason for this?

This spring's demanding piglet market has turned into a push market. As the month of May progressed, price cuts were already looming. This is because the extreme shortage of piglets turned into a slight surplus. As the weeks passed, it was insurmountable that the quotations had to give direction to the changing market situation.

Recent price developments
In the first full week of June, week 23, the piglet market in the Netherlands went down in price. In Germany, the Nord/West quotation did not fall until mid-July. However, the price lines in the Netherlands, for example of the DCA BestPigletPrice (BPP) and the piglet price of Vion, also differ from each other. Between weeks 23 and 30, the BPP decreased by €9 to €50 per piglet (exclusive of VAT† In the same period, the Vion quotation decreased by €12 per piglet to €51,50 per piglet (including VAT† This means that the mutual price difference has become smaller.

Text continues below the chartThe development of the BPP, Nord/West quotation and the piglet price of Vion, between week 22 and week 30. 

Variable allowances in Germany
The reason that the German piglet price did not shrink for a long time is because Germany has a different payment system than the Netherlands. Germany is an importing country, while the Netherlands exports about 130.000 piglets every week to more than 10 countries. The German market is therefore less susceptible to price reductions, especially at the beginning of a reversal of sentiment.

German allowance system works differently

In Germany, the surcharges can vary per week, depending on supply and demand. An example of this is a Dutch propagator who received more than €10 in supplements this spring, of which a few euros are still left by mid-July. There are also multipliers who, for example, received €7 per piglet in supplements in the first half and €5 per piglet in the second half.

Fixed surcharge on BPP
The BPP in the Netherlands works with a fixed supplement system, based on measurable quality such as floor space and weaning age. There is room for a freely negotiable percentage of up to 10%. The maximum surcharge on the BPP is set at 18%. This percentage applies year round. There is no exchange of allowances on the BPP. This was emphasized once again by Jan Schuttert, chairman of the advisory committee, at the public meeting in Arnhem on Monday 12 June.

The objective of the BPP is and remains to focus on quality in the basic price. From that point of view, the BPP was launched on the market more than 2 years ago. The BPP lists a quality piglet and is not for residual flocks in the free market. The idea behind the fixed bonus system is to stimulate cyclical piglet production. 

Extreme situation
The piglet shortage this spring can be seen as a special situation, given that piglet prices are at record levels. In certain weeks the piglet shortage was so great that the supplements here and there exceeded the limit of 18%. The trade is now suffering from this. Some propagators have been promised allowances and are sticking to them. Fattening pig farmers are being duped as a result. This then puts pressure on the base price. The purpose of the BPP is that the base price is not determined on the basis of promised surcharges. Surcharges must be determined correctly on the basis of the base price.

The set-up of the BPP includes a free negotiating room for a surcharge of up to 10%. This can be about flock size, genetics, flexibility, and so on. DCA and the advisory committee are of the opinion that the multiplier, trader and fattening pig farmer determine this percentage among themselves. The objective is to keep the relationship between propagator and fattening pig farmer equal. Therefore, the percentage of 'free bargaining room' can rise as well as fall, depending on the market situation in a calendar year.

Set-up of BPP offers room for variable allowances

Fixed surcharges still flexible
Despite the fact that the BPP has a fixed allowance system, there is room for flexibility. Here lies a task for the pig trade to properly implement and coordinate this flexibility. However, this requires leniency, both from the propagator and the fattening pig farmer. Otherwise, there would have to be an exchange of allowances in the long run, but that does not fit in with the structure of the BPP.

The reason that the BPP has fallen less sharply in recent weeks has to do with the above arguments. The course of the BPP, one to one, comparing with other quotations does not hold. The criticism of fattening pig farmers on a base price that is too tight is often the result of skewed supplements in the spring. So this is the crux of the matter, because there is certainly room for flexibility within the 'free negotiation space' of the allowances. Both up and down, depending on the current market situation.

The DCA BestPigletPrice is published every Monday around 18.00pm. Traders who are affiliated with Vee&Logistiek Nederland have until 15.00 p.m. to submit their submission. DCA arrives at a listing based on the submissions and input from the advisory committee. Click here to read the terms of the BPP. 

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Wouter Job

Wouter Baan is editor-in-chief of Boerenbusiness. He also focuses on dairy, pig and meat markets. He also follows (business) developments within agribusiness and interviews CEOs and policymakers.
Comments
2 comments
Garssink 28 July 2017
This is a response to this article:
[url=http://www.boerenbusiness.nl/varkens-feed/ artikel/10875333/biggennotering-one-on-a-comparison-go-not][/url]
After the performance you can compose a whole story about the circus. The fact is that producers, buyers and trade pay little attention to the intentions of the committee. For example, surcharges rise to 28%, with quality predominating. Everything else is largely well-made puppet show. At the end of the year, the committee must ensure that the annual average is 4 euros below the NW. Then they can chat with each other for another 52 weeks or else find another hobby. You can also put the German price weekly in an Excel and superimpose the "conversion factor" from last year. Saves a lot of idle talk.
roulade 28 July 2017
Garssink, you share this in a nice cynical way with "all of us". I usually set a slightly different tone, but the gist is the same.
because in the story above again it seems that a few people would receive a higher surcharge than 18%, but I (we) know that there is ONE ONE who makes a little less, and the rest all more ??? But as long as all traders continue to walk around as they are now and before, this game will continue to run no matter what the odds are. Not a problem in itself, because trading is allowed, but keep the intention that the BPP contributes to all kinds of things, that's just bad.
john 29 July 2017
game is the same every year

Rake and hold companies at the beginning of the year with substantial allowances and then later in the year leave the quotation more than necessary, with the result that at the end of the year the allowances have to be exchanged with the quotation in order to still be able to go back to normal record the following year.
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