The Internet exchange manages to break through the negative mood on the pig market. Yet it is still too early to speak of a turnaround, although the DCA Stock Price 2.0 does make a correction upwards.
The Internet Fair in Germany made a striking move on Friday, May 11. Completely against expectations, the indicator increased by €0,04 to 1,46 per kilo. The 12 lots offered were all sold. This signals that there is a demand for pigs in Germany. Although the traded volume is relatively insignificant, the quotation remains a good reflection of the mood on the market. So there is clearly no longer a minor mood.
Improved mood
However, it is too early to speak of a 'Hosanna mood'. There is no shortage of pigs in Germany; supply is in balance with demand. This is also evident from the movement in the German pig price (the VEZG quotation); the quotation remained stable at €1,37 per kilo and was followed by the German slaughterhouses.
In the Netherlands, pigs can be placed reasonably well, although insights differ slightly from trader to trader. In addition, the European pig supply will soon have to get through another broken slaughter week (Whit Monday). Slaughterhouses indicate that an increase should not be expected; It is already 'with difficulty' that pig prices can be maintained at the same levels.
However, the price pressure of recent weeks appears to be a thing of the past for the time being. This also offers perspective for some breathing space piglet market. In recent weeks, fattening pig farmers have been rather cautious about laying piglets, resulting in a red piglet listing.
Improvement in the meat market
The improved mood is undoubtedly related to the nice weather of recent days, which has caused an upturn in meat consumption (BBQ). It must immediately be said that the summer temperature is once again making way for typical Dutch, somewhat erratic spring weather. This will probably normalize demand from the fresh segment. However, various meat departments, such as the public prosecutors, have clearly benefited from the extra demand. These have risen sharply in price.
This certainly does not apply to the other parts. Ham sales are not yet satisfactory. For example, Italy is not really in the market, while the increased stocks continue to cause a negative trend. The battle for the price, must also be kept in mind because of the sales opportunities in China and Hong Kong. These remain under pressure stand.
DCA Exchange Price 2.0 makes correction
In retrospect, the Dutch pig trade was too negative last week. The reduction that was implemented at that time is therefore now being corrected again. The DCA Exchange Price 2.0 therefore increases by €0,03 to €1,31 per kilo for the slaughtered pigs. The price of live pigs also increases, but by €0,02 to €1,05 per kilo.
DCA Scholarship 2.0 (week 20) | Price range | Number of problems | Average |
Gender €1,31 (+€0,03) per kilo | € 1,30 - € 1,32 | 10 | €1,310 |
Living €1,05 (+€0,02) per kilo | € 1,03 - € 1,06 | 10 | €1,047 |
Explanation DCA Markets: The pig trade looks back on last week with mixed feelings. This week (week 19) had one less slaughter day due to Ascension Day, but no consumption day. In retrospect, the meat trade was not as bad as previously estimated. It was entirely as expected that the number of pigs would be sufficient. Although there is no shortage of pigs before week 20, the first sounds of declining supply are being heard. With the Dutch slaughterhouses largely unchanged, a correction to the change in the DCA Stock Exchange Price 2.0 from last week (wk 18) seems to receive the most votes. To indicate that the pig market is on the verge of improvement, there would be room for something extra in addition to the correction. However, this week's statements show that there is currently no majority in favor of this option. The German pig market is being followed with suspicion from the Netherlands. A rise next Wednesday is widely expected. Opinions vary widely on how much. |