Analysis DCA pig index
DCA pig index has started to recover
The DCA fattening pig index has recovered in recent weeks and has risen sharply. The DCA piglet index, on the other hand, has lost ground and is even at its lowest level in 3 years.
The finishing pig index in week 41 was 151,5 points, with 100 points being the 5-year average. In recent weeks, the index has taken several steps up, especially in week 36 the index rose sharply. In just 1 week, the number of points increased by 16,1 respectively. The index also gathered some points in the following weeks.
Piglet index falls to low point
The piglet index, on the other hand, has not recovered. In fact, the index has been losing ground in recent weeks. In week 41, the index is at 33,9 points, which is far below the 5-year average of 100 points. The index even reaches its lowest level since November 2018. In week 37, the number of points decreased the most, as the index lost 1 points in 16,8 week. In the following weeks, the decline continued, but less sharply.
The fact that the piglet index has fallen sharply is not entirely unexpected. The sale of piglets is currently very difficult now that export opportunities have been brushed aside. In connection with the African swine fever (ASF) in Germany, it is more difficult to impose Dutch piglets there and other export options are reportedly more difficult.
Expectation
For the coming weeks, the fattening pig index is expected to stagnate and the piglet index to stabilize. Because the market is very volatile and there is currently a lot of tension and uncertainty surrounding AVP, it is also possible that the indices do not live up to forecasts.
Chanti Oussoren
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