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Analysis Pigs

Pig market in search of peace and balance

10 January 2025 - Wouter Baan - 3 comments

The start of the new year is still turbulent on the European pig market. Balance between supply and demand seems to be a matter of time. This offers a perspective for more peace and balance, although the outbreak of FMD has really scared people. 

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As expected, the German pig price earlier this week by €0,10 to €1,82 down sharply. However, it is likely that this will be the only downgrade and we are heading for more stability. The Dutch slaughterhouse quotation has fallen in the same order of magnitude as in Germany, albeit over a slightly longer period.

The market will probably become more balanced in the coming weeks. The pig supply is still very large at the moment, but traders are signaling some improvement. Therefore, the market is not expected to fall (much) further next week. Slaughter figures for the past weeks are still known.

Supply becomes crucial
The meat processing industry is also increasingly picking up steam after a period of rest. Nevertheless, sales of carcass parts are still very disappointing. It is still unclear how demand will develop during 2025. Food inflation is still a topic that concerns consumers in Europe. An improvement in sentiment should be driven mainly by a tighter supply this year, so the idea is. In Germany, the supply is stable, but in the Netherlands, shifts are coming due to the stopper scheme. Or in other words, the slaughter hooks will be less easy to complete in the coming months. 

The DCA Beursprijs 2.0 still has to make a correction for week 3 based on the sharper decline in Dutch slaughterhouse quotations. The quotation of slaughtered pigs therefore drops by €0,03 to €1,78 per kilo. The price of live pigs drops by €0,01 to €1,40 per kilo.

Finally, it is not superfluous to report that there are concerns in the market about the outbreak of FMD in Germany. This could have major consequences for both pig transport and meat export. hinders sales to third markets outside Europe, as market leader Tönnies has already announced. 

Click here for an explanation from DCA Market Intelligence on the listing.

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